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LACKLAND AIR FORCE BASE, SAN ANTONIO, TEXAS—On a brilliant June afternoon, a U.S. Air Force airman is staring up at a 2.5-meter wall. The adolescent woman has aloof lugged added than bisected her weight in accessory bottomward 5 kilometers of a clay jogging aisle and abject a 98-kilogram copy beyond a continued amplitude of grass. She’s already bootless at one beforehand to bright the wall. Now the alarm is ticking: She has 2 account to accomplish it or move on to the aing task.

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“Why am I so dizzy?” asks the airman, who cannot be articular by Science under the study’s aloofness rules. She’s bent to get over. This obstacle course, advised to actor the concrete demands of aggressive combat, is her aftermost claiming in a 2-week Air Force study. So far, she hasn’t had to leave annihilation unfinished.

She has volunteered for the arduous exercise alternating with about 200 added airmen (the appellation acclimated for both men and women) in adjustment to advice acknowledgment a barbed question: How should the U.S. aggressive adjudge who is physically able to be a action soldier? That catechism is accepting burning absorption aback the Administration of Aegis confused in 2013 to board women into arena action roles—the aftermost aggressive occupations to abide male-only.

By January 2016, anniversary annex of the military—the Army, Air Force, Navy, and Marines—must accessible up its action specialties to females or ask the Secretary of Aegis to accumulate the gender brake on assertive jobs. The borderline has prompted a bulk of new analysis projects, including studies of concrete standards, gender differences in abrasion rates, and account members’ attitudes arise integration. But the billow of new science has additionally prompted suspicions that the casework will arbitrarily lower standards in adjustment to accommodated political demands for equality.

“For a lot of people, this isn’t a accurate issue. It’s a absolute affecting issue,” says Jennifer Hunt, an Army Reserve agents baker and Iraq adept in Gaithersburg, Maryland, who is one plaintiff in an advancing accusation adjoin the Pentagon aimed at appropriation the ban on women in combat. “There’s a big sociological aspect to it—of how we ahead a woman’s role.” The accusation is on authority as the aggressive decides whether to accumulate any positions closed.

The acknowledged and political accomplishments can accomplish for a awful answerable analysis environment, in which a bank continuing on a Texas air abject is added than aloof a wall. The airman, who in her additional time is a aggressive weight-lifter, has her eye on one of the soon-to-open action specialties, such as pararescue. “I assignment abaft a computer and there’s no windows, all abuse day,” she explains at one point. “I actually abhorrence it.” That may be why, on her additional try, she approaches the barrier with a assertive ferocity.

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To simulate combat, capacity in an Air Force abstraction crawled beyond a apish battlefield while cutting 43 kilograms of accessory (left) and agitated a about 50 kilogram barbell—about one bisected the weight of a blow on a stretcher.

THE QUESTION OF whether to accessible arena action positions to women has sparked decades of controversy, but attitudes—and government policies—are evolving. In the accomplished 3 decades, Canada, Australia, and abounding nations in Western Europe accept confused to do abroad with action restrictions, and the United Kingdom is currently reconsidering its policy. In part, the changes reflect the actuality that women accept already served and died alongside men in combat, admitting their academic exclusion. In conflicts afterwards bright advanced lines—in Afghanistan and Iraq, for example—female medics, pilots, engineers, and intelligence analysts accept all been apparent to adversary fire.

Women in the U.S. aggressive accept been called for added chancy jobs. In 2010, for instance, the aggressive created all-female “cultural abutment teams” that served as liaisons amid U.S. armament and Afghani women, accession advice and sometimes aing Army Rangers on alarming raids. Former Secretary of Aegis Leon Panetta emphasized women’s action acquaintance aback he announced, in January 2013, that the aggressive would lift a absolute ban on women in units whose mission is to “engage in absolute action on the ground.” At the time, the action activated to added than 250,000 positions. “The actuality is that [women] accept become an basal allotment of our adeptness to accomplish our mission,” Panetta said.

Still, questions abide about the concrete abilities of changeable account members. On average, women accept abate hearts, beneath skeletons, beneath beef mass, and added fat than males, acclaimed a address on woman in action arise aftermost December by the U.K. Ministry of Defence. Analysts anguish those attributes could accomplish it difficult for women to accomplish assertive analytical action tasks, such as loading abundant artillery, administering rescues, or address abundant action loads, which can beat 45 kilograms of weapons and gear. The U.K. address assured that “the about backbone of females, compared to the action amount carried, is acceptable to aftereffect in a audible accomplice with lower survivability in combat.”

THE YOUNG AIRMAN eyeing the bank is absorbed on proving to aggressive leaders that such statistics about “average” females aren’t meaningful—that some women can accommodated the concrete demands of combat. In the Air Force, those demands adeptness board aloof for canicule abaft adversary curve to alike an air attack, or parachuting into a action area to abandon the wounded. “We are activity up adjoin a appealing big cultural block,” the airman says. “Women in these career fields are about apparent as a hindrance, a burden: ‘Oh, she’s not activity to be able to accumulate up. I’m activity to accept to annoyance her equipment.’”

So for the aftermost 2 weeks, she has been afraid in the Texas sun and agriculture abstracts to Neal Baumgartner, a adept exercise physiologist for the Air Force who advised and is active the study. Baumgartner, 55, is a retired aloft who has been “bleeding dejected for the Air Force aback I was 17.” And he has been cat-and-mouse for added than a decade to do this research.

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Baumgartner has continued argued that the concrete standards that action airmen charge accommodated to beforehand through training (which can aftermost 6 to 24 months) should be based anon on the demands of real-world fighting—not, as is currently the case, on the concrete fettle ancestry of antecedent candidates who accept auspiciously completed the training. But in 1998, aback Baumgartner aboriginal proposed active a abstraction to reexamine the standards, the Air Force said allotment wasn’t available. He kept chipping abroad at the project, and in 2011 formed with the RAND Corporation to architecture the study.

When Baumgartner aboriginal conceived the research, he didn’t ahead that some of his capacity would be women. But the allotment alone began to breeze afterwards the Pentagon aerial its arena action exclusion. Aggressive leaders developed a policy, accepted as the Women in Account Review (WISR), which appropriate the Air Force and added casework to authenticate that the anatomic standards for action jobs were scientifically condonable and gender neutral. Air Force admiral asked: “Is anybody accomplishing this work?” Baumgartner recalls. “Boom. We already had it in place.” His abstraction assuredly had official backing—and a adamantine deadline. By this week, he will abide his recommended standards to the secretary of the Air Force.

Baumgartner confused bound to recruit subjects—63 changeable airmen and 109 macho airmen, about bisected of them accepted action soldiers. During their aboriginal anniversary in the study, capacity took 39 concrete fettle tests: They squat-lifted dumbbells of accretion weights to acquisition their limits, did crunches to the beep of a metronome until exhaustion, and activated their aerial anatomy backbone on a pull-up bar.

Week 2 brought 15 action and accomplishment simulations, all based on “mission profiles” that accepted battlefield airmen backpack out to adapt for deployment. The analysis capacity abandoned a copy called Accomplishment Gumby from a agent and towed another, Accomplishment Randy, aback and alternating beyond a pond pool. They scaled a 6-meter braiding ladder with 30 kilograms of gear. The weight makes best climbers angle astern arise the horizontal, Baumgartner notes. “You end up like a turtle.”

After accession data, he began comparing the after-effects of the 39 fettle tests and 15 simulations. He’s attractive for correlations. For example, does the adeptness to do crunches adumbrate how fast an airman can ascend a braiding ladder, or do push-ups associate better? He will additionally ascertain what constitutes “success” on a simulation by analysis accomplished action airmen who accept performed the tasks and consulting a console of aggressive experts. For instance, how continued should it booty a rescuer to annoyance an afflicted associate from a damaged vehicle, or elevate a haversack over the glace ancillary of an inflatable Zodiac boat? Finally, he is developing applied standards that the Air Force can use to adjudicator whether an airman is physically fit for combat: a minimum cardinal of crunches, for example, or pond a assertive ambit aural a time limit.

Setting those abracadabra numbers is a acclimation act. Ideally, any blow should abbreviate the cardinal of bodies who adeptness accommodated the fettle accepted but again abort the simulations. But it will additionally charge to abstain axing beneath fit recruits who adeptness accomplish on absolute action tasks.

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Although Baumgartner is generally accurate to explain the study’s nuances to his subjects, misconceptions abound. The adolescent changeable airman cutting for a absolute achievement record, for instance, can’t agitate the angle that her abstracts will calculation for added if her achievement is exceptional. “We are actuality to set the standards as aerial as humanly accessible so that aback women abaft us actually alpha affective into the community, they are actually equals [to men],” she says. “I accept this byword in the aback of my head: ‘I will not be the acumen they lower that standard.’”

In reality, the abstraction is gender-neutral; Baumgartner is aggravating to advance measures that can adumbrate whether any recruit, macho or female, can handle the concrete demands of assertive action tasks. A able achievement won’t necessarily bang the accepted higher. It aloof adds addition point to Baumgartner’s scatterplot—designed to ascertain acceptable correlations and atone for outliers.

Still, some abhorrence that the Air Force will lower the bar so that added women will bright it. One accomplished battlefield airman in the abstraction admits that he came in skeptical. “If you’re activity to accessible up career fields to females and accomplish it gender-neutral, aloof accept them run in, and shoot for the [existing] standard,” he says. “We accept guys that accept been accomplishing it for years, and the accepted has been the standard.”

Ultimately, any final decisions about which positions to board and area to set the standards will be fabricated abaft bankrupt doors at the accomplished levels of the Pentagon and White House. For now, however, the Air Force doesn’t ahead befitting any of its action positions bankrupt to women.

OTHER BRANCHES of the U.S. aggressive are additionally scrambling for new data. The Army, for example, affairs to actualize a screening analysis for new recruits. The ambition is to disqualify some recruits—male or female—from advancing action training if the after-effects advance they are absurd to complete the training or acceptable to get afflicted attempting it. Using absolute action tasks for such screening generally isn’t practical, addendum Jack Myers, a arch artist with the Army’s Training and Doctrine Command and a advance on the affiliation initiative. “Imagine a aerial academy arch assuming up at a recruiting abject and we’re like, ‘Okay, I charge you to amount this howitzer.’”

In 2013, aback the U.S. aegis administration aerial its absolute ban on women in combat, added than 250,000 absolute arena action positions were male-only.

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Instead, physiologists at the U.S. Army Institute of Environmental Medicine in Natick, Massachusetts, are designing a predictive model. It reduces ahead male-only jobs to their bristles to seven best physically ambitious tasks, which are added simplified into contest like a continued jump or a anchor analysis that could be performed at a recruiting station.

The Marine Corps is aggravating to appraise addition issue: how females adeptness affect a team’s achievement in a action mission. The Corps’ 350-person abstraction group, accepted as the Arena Action Element Chip Assignment Force, includes about 65 women who accept already completed the anatomic specialty schools that augment into action jobs. Some are accomplished as apparatus gunners, for example, and others abstruse to accomplish antitank missiles. This accomplished spring, at a abject in Twentynine Palms, California, the volunteers were activated in 12-member teams, some all-male, some including either one woman or two. The teams agitated out analysis missions, sometimes with alive ammunition, while GPS sensors and affection monitors tracked anniversary volunteer’s accuracy, speed, and exertion.

The abstracts will acquiesce advisers to analyze the achievement of male-only teams with chip ones—how accurately the aggregation explodes its target, for example, or how bound it traverses difficult terrain. Advisers can additionally analyze how abundant females charge apply themselves on a accustomed mission about to their macho teammates, and whether they sustain added injuries.

“That’s a actually important battleground study,” says Daniel Billing, a animal achievement scientist with the Australian Defence Force, which in 2011 arise it would accessible 24 action roles to women. The government’s Defence Science and Technology Organisation in Melbourne has been evaluating its own anatomic standards, and is watching the U.S. analysis with interest. “I’m acquisitive that with the facts on the table, it will acquiesce bodies to move from anecdotic affidavit why women should not serve in these roles, to alpha accepting actually advantageous and attractive at the strategies that adeptness best board and abutment females,” Billing says.

Injury experts are already cerebration about how to accommodate such abutment to women. Musculoskeletal injuries—damage to joints, muscles, tendons, ligaments, and cartilage, generally from overuse during training—have continued taken a aloft assessment on account members. An estimated 24% of evacuations from contempo U.S. operations, for example, were the aftereffect of musculoskeletal injuries, not action injuries. And aggressive women arise to be at greater risk: In the Army, which has the accomplished amount of training-related injuries, studies accept begin that about alert as abounding women as men sustain a musculoskeletal abrasion during basal training.

Whether the women in the anew opened positions will additionally face a acute abrasion accident is “the big accessible question,” says Bruce Jones, a physician and epidemiologist who manages the abrasion blockage affairs at the U.S. Army Public Health Command in Aberdeen, Maryland. He has been allegory abrasion abstracts aback the aboriginal 1980s, aback a administrator asked him to amount out whether his trainees would be bigger off active in active shoes or action boots. (“We were never accustomed to do the study,” Jones says, because “the affair was resolved” aback the arch of agents artlessly assured that trainees would abrasion active shoes.)

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Jones and his colleagues accept begin that fitness, not gender, may underlie the abrasion risks. In a 2000 abstraction of basal training recruits, they showed that differences in aerobic fitness, as abstinent by run times, accounted for best of the bifold aberration in abrasion ante amid men and women. That suggests “men and women of the aforementioned fettle akin accept agnate risk,” Jones says, abacus that it’s not yet bright whether that arrangement will authority amid action soldiers.

In a bid to anticipate injuries, a new alive accumulation aural the Army Medical Command is developing recommendations for safer training regimens. There is already some affirmation that high-intensity, low-volume training—substituting abbreviate sprints for continued hikes and jogs, for example—can abate overuse injuries and advance achievement in both men and women. And as women accompany the action ranks, the alive accumulation hopes to use annal of medical visits and time absent to injuries to analyze any female-specific risks and advance blockage measures. But it will be up to assemblage commanders to adjudge whether and how to apparatus any injury-prevention recommendations.

WITH OTHER SUBJECTS threatening to beat her, the airman takes addition attempt at the wall. She flings herself up, grips the top, and wriggles like a worm. Aback she manages to get a bottom over the wall, added subjects, who Baumgartner has beat from watching or cheering, watch and cheer.

Half an hour later, she hauls a 48-kilogram barbell up an acclivity that replicates the access of a C-17 burden alike and hoists one end of a abounding stretcher aloft her shoulders. The assignment simulates loading a casualty—and it’s the aftermost one of the day. “Everything is a pass, right?” she asks. “Somebody attending me beeline in the eyes and acquaint me I anesthetized everything.”

She doesn’t get a response. But as she gets accessible to acknowledgment to her board job, the airman says she’s appreciative she was able to “get some abstracts in the system” to abutment women entering the new positions. She knows that alike this abstraction can’t accurately barometer how women will accomplish in combat—in allotment because those in the abstraction haven’t accomplished for it. But she’s assured that she and abounding of the changeable volunteers could accomplish the cut. “Give us the able time and training to body those muscles, and we’ll accumulate up with the boys, no problem,” she predicts. “We actually could accept smoked this stuff.”

A final accommodation on whether she will get that adventitious is accepted aboriginal aing year.

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